The sudden death of former governor of Pernambuco and the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) candidate for president Eduardo Campos, at third place in the polls, threw to the ground the hopes of President Dilma Rousseff, Workers Party (PT), to be re elected in the first round, according to some polls published by the press. Based on the public and political profile of PSB candidate, some people believed that Eduardo will steal more votes from Aecio Neves, the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) candidate, the second placed, and less from Dilma, dividing and weakening the opposition and paving the way for a peaceful victory of PT candidate, current leader on the route to win the presidential election.Now, without the adversary Eduardo Campos, the winds are blowing to Aecio, who should garner the votes that would otherwise go to the deceased candidate, forcing the completion of a second round in the presidential election. Hardly, people will vote for a substitute candidate, whoever he is.
And much less they will vote for Dilma. The Campos's votes are considered votes of the opposition, although both Campos and Marina having been part of Lula's government, a fact that has divided political analysts, with some of them thinking that Campos and Marina were a kind of "option B" of the PT if things started to go wrong for the party of the Red Star.
Others, however, understood that Marina and Campos became independent candidates and would be an alternative to escape the alternation PT-PSDB in power.
Without this alternative, the presidential run will be really polarized between Dilma and Aecio. The political campaign, the TV debates and new polls will point the trend of the electorate. The moment of truth is coming! Brazilian people will watch closely the two candidates and their proposals, the cards will be played at the table, and there will be a lot of accusations and attacks from both sides ... Better win the one that will be the best for the people and the nation!
Who will hold the vacancy of Eduardo Campos?
The PSB now has ten days to choose a new candidate to fill the vacancy of Campos and has three options: Launch the vice presidential candidate Marina Silva to the presidency; Choose another candidate; Not launch any candidate, and support Dilma or Aecio campaign.
I think more likely that the PSB will not launch a new candidate. Marina Silva became weakened since she did not got the register for her political party Solidarity Network, becoming an option being vice-president in Campos plate. And having another woman running against Rousseff and against a male candidate seems to be foolhardy.
The trend in social networks and on the streets of the cities of the South, Southeast and Midwest brazilian regions shows that the population would not be wanting another woman president (Lula da Silva made a mistake in launching Dilma for reelection, after she have a troubled government). In this case, Aecio will win the dispute, possibly in the first round.
And launch another candidate other than Marina, at this stage of the game, ie, find a name carat Eduardo Campos, will not be an easy task for the PSB. Probably, the party will declare support for Dilma. However, many members of various parties of the basis of the current government, realizing the unpopularity of Dilma in the streets and on the Internet, began to lean towards the candidacy of Aecio. How's happening with many members of the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB), in Rio de Janeiro. If this is the same trend, we predict that things will be very difficult for the candidate of the current government.
